Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.005635 0.006217 0.006818 0.007484 0.008201 0.008949 0.009785
2025-02-09 0.004675 0.005504 0.006402 0.007446 0.008621 0.009897 0.011385
2025-02-16 0.004193 0.005176 0.006280 0.007605 0.009143 0.010863 0.012921
2025-02-23 0.003703 0.004767 0.006000 0.007522 0.009335 0.011411 0.013953
2025-03-02 0.003359 0.004488 0.005833 0.007533 0.009606 0.012027 0.015047
2025-03-09 0.003190 0.004401 0.005877 0.007783 0.010150 0.012961 0.016521
2025-03-16 0.002972 0.004229 0.005799 0.007866 0.010478 0.013631 0.017680
2025-03-23 0.002811 0.004118 0.005782 0.008015 0.010881 0.014390 0.018953
2025-03-30 0.002679 0.004033 0.005790 0.008186 0.011309 0.015179 0.020271
2025-04-06 0.002437 0.003780 0.005561 0.008035 0.011311 0.015428 0.020909
2025-04-13 0.002277 0.003630 0.005460 0.008042 0.011510 0.015921 0.021858
2025-04-20 0.002088 0.003425 0.005271 0.007919 0.011529 0.016176 0.022499
2025-04-27 0.001937 0.003271 0.005149 0.007889 0.011677 0.016613 0.023399
2025-05-04 0.001794 0.003119 0.005023 0.007848 0.011807 0.017026 0.024274
2025-05-11 0.001726 0.003075 0.005048 0.008014 0.012220 0.017819 0.025659
2025-05-18 0.001592 0.002920 0.004900 0.007927 0.012276 0.018129 0.026405
2025-05-25 0.001496 0.002818 0.004826 0.007939 0.012467 0.018623 0.027398
2025-06-01 0.001470 0.002828 0.004920 0.008199 0.013013 0.019607 0.029068
2025-06-08 0.001403 0.002766 0.004898 0.008285 0.013310 0.020250 0.030282
2025-06-15 0.001357 0.002735 0.004924 0.008440 0.013707 0.021037 0.031701
2025-06-22 0.001319 0.002716 0.004965 0.008619 0.014140 0.021880 0.033207
2025-06-29 0.001211 0.002567 0.004792 0.008462 0.014073 0.022015 0.033732
2025-07-06 0.001145 0.002487 0.004728 0.008469 0.014247 0.022491 0.034736